ECONOMY
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The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast—March 2026
Marco Del Negro, Ibrahima Diagne, Keshav Dogra, Elena Elbarmi, Donggyu Lee, and Michael Pham This post presents an update of…
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What’s Driving Rising Business Costs?
Jaison R. Abel, Richard Deitz, and Nick Montalbano After a period of moderating cost increases, businesses faced mounting cost pressures…
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Are Rising Employee Health Insurance Costs Dampening Wage Growth?
Jaison R. Abel, Richard Deitz, and Nick Montalbano Employer-sponsored health insurance represents a substantial component of total compensation paid by…
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Firms’ Inflation Expectations Return to 2024 Levels
Jaison R. Abel, Richard Deitz, and Nick Montalbano Businesses experienced substantial cost pressures in 2025 as the cost of insurance…
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A New Dataset for Consumer Spending in the New York Fed EHIs
Rajashri Chakrabarti, Thu Pham, Beck Pierce, and Maxim L. Pinkovskiy We are enhancing our set of Economic Heterogeneity Indicators (EHIs)…
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Estimating the Term Structure of Corporate Bond Risk Premia
Tomas Jankauskas Understanding how short- and long-term assets are priced is one of the fundamental questions in finance. The term…
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The Post-Pandemic Global R* – Liberty Street Economics
Marco Del Negro, Elena Elbarmi, and Michael Pham In this post we provide a measure of “global” r* using data…
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Seeing Through the Shutdown’s Missing Inflation Data
Martin Almuzara and Geert Mesters Data releases for inflation have been scarce over the past four months due to the…
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What Workplace Composition Are Job Candidates Looking For?
Rachel Schuh Why do workers still segregate by sex across occupations, industries, and firms? Recent research has focused on how…
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Where Are Mortgage Delinquencies Rising the Most?
Andrew F. Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Daniel Mangrum, Joelle W. Scally, and Wilbert van der Klaauw The Federal Reserve Bank of…
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