MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) still sells enterprise software, focused on data analytics and business intelligence. However, most investors see it as a direct bet on Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) these days, and for good reason.
Under the authority of co-founder and Chairman Michael Saylor, who also served as MicroStrategy’s CEO at the time, the company converted most of its cash reserves into Bitcoin in 2020. Since then, Microstrategy has sold stock and taken on new debt to finance more Bitcoin purchases, while also pumping free cash flows from the software business into even more Bitcoin buys.
According to regulatory filings, MicroStrategy now holds roughly 423,650 bitcoins on its balance sheet. They were bought at an average price of $60,324 per coin. That’s a $25.6 billion investment, currently worth approximately $42.4 billion. The current value of this Bitcoin portfolio accounts for nearly half of MicroStrategy’s $90.4 billion market cap.
And that brings me to the metric every MicroStrategy investor should track like a Wall Street falcon. Those Bitcoin buying sprees are more expensive than they look, and shareholders are footing the bill for a large portion of them. As a result, MicroStrategy’s share count has just about doubled in less than two years:
This highly dilutive strategy has real effects on MicroStrategy’s stock price. The market cap grew 1,410% in the period show on the chart, while the price per share rose by 657%. Nobody complains about a sevenfold return in two years, but MicroStrategy plans to borrow about $21 billion from shareholders over the next three years, while signing a similar amount of debt papers.
So you should keep a close eye on MicroStrategy’s share count before hitting the “buy” button. The Bitcoin-buying plan may or may not create wealth in the long run, but the underlying financing moves will definitely undermine shareholder returns along the way.
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